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The CAC 40 revives the green after having been the victim of profit taking on Wednesday. Around 12 hours, the benchmark DAX index rose 0.22% to 3944 point. The volume of trade remains very low (242 million euros), as investors deserted the market for the shortened session to be completed in 14 hours. The activity is even smaller that no statistics are expected today. After stock market, but the U.S. will monitor weekly figures on employment to be released at 14:30.

On the currency markets, the euro is rising against the dollar, investors sure some profits after the rebound of the greenback Wednesday.The euro gained 0.54% and traded at 1.4417 dollars against 1.4341 dollars late Wednesday.

As for commodities, crude prices are gaining ground, always supported by the publication yesterday of a decline in U.S. inventories for the second consecutive week. The barrel of Brent North Sea for February delivery gained 0.48% to 77.71 dollars. The barrel of WTI crude oil is 0.38% to 78.99 dollars.

If the objective of the 4,000 items listed on the Paris markets later this year will not be reached, the ACC can claim to have made a good performance this year. For now, the French index has gained 22.3% since 1 January. Of the remaining European markets, the trend is similar with increases hovering around 20% for German and English indexes.

EADS is good

The European giant EADS is the top of the charts of the CAC 40 in mid-session: title wins 1.82% to 13.95 euros.The parent company of Airbus has yet to face attacks by unions who say that the manufacturer will not be able to deliver its 13 A380s this year.

Like previous meetings, defensive stocks are also in the top of the table. PPR gained 1.71% and sign the second best performance of ACC, Suez Environment is 0.78% and 0.53% Oreal nibbles.

For this last meeting, the bank confirm their good health. Dexia (+1.82%), BNP Paribas (0.41%), Societe Generale (0.31%) and Credit Agricole (+0.12%) are all trending up.

Note, Cac 40 off the rebound of Air France. The airline gained 1.19% after having lost 1.70% Wednesday.

Total gain 0.34% on the strength of rising oil prices recorded since yesterday.

Among the largest declines in the ACC, there is Sanofi-Aventis (-0.80%), France Telecom (-0.64%) and Lafarge (-0.21%).

Carried by the first signs of recovery, commodity prices should continue to benefit from a demand effect, according to most analysts. And inevitably, when the recovery point the tip of his nose, the main concern of investors is inflation. Central banks, especially American, will they let it slip that the growth settles? Exactly, materials excellent in coverage against the general rise in prices. Among them gold.

It's the return of the "barbarous relic", to quote the famous phrase of John Maynard Keynes, the famous English economist. In one year, gold has gained 40%, up two times higher than the CAC 40. An increase which reached a peak last December 3, with a historic high: 1.227 dollars per ounce.The successive reductions in interest rates have reduced the cost of money at a level so close to zero as the low profitability of gold goes completely unnoticed. More than a genuine interest – unlike shares or bonds, gold in nothing (hence the term "barbarous relic" – the precious metal benefits mainly three phenomena.

Capitalizing on weak dollar

The first is the weak dollar, including emerging countries, mainly turn away. Asians, including Chinese, even openly criticize the supremacy of the dollar green. Which, incidentally, is a dangerous game for the Middle Kingdom, with about 80% of its foreign exchange reserves are denominated in dollars …. But alongside this, China, like India, strengthening its gold reserves in order to diversify its foreign reserves.Although they constitute just 1.6% of its total reserves of foreign exchange, bullion held in vaults of the central bank, however, correspond to the significant volume of 1054 tons, against 600 in 2003. What sets the Middle Kingdom to the sixth place amongst central banks richest gold, this beautiful place in Switzerland. The increase of 76% of China's foreign exchange reserves in gold vividly confirms the interest that Beijing is to the metal, she, who advocated the abandonment of the gold standard. Importantly, this increase clearly confirms the willingness of China to emerge more than ever a new international currency to replace the dollar ….

Hedging against inflation

Another aspect directly linked to the dollar's decline: the fear of a return of inflation."Now, what are the conditions for ending the recession concern; central banks should be tempted to let slip inflation initially, that the recovery takes hold," says Frederic Lasserre, head of research commodities at Soci?t? G?n?rale. Although there is no question, especially towards the European Central Bank left spinning inflation, the Fed, for its concern for some developed countries deflationary risk. It may well in the second quarter of 2010 up its rates.

Value shelter or bubble?

Finally, to protect against loss of value of their assets, investors seek refuge physically in oil and base metals, but primarily in gold.In a context where some European countries are in trouble (damage to the notes in Greece, under surveillance from that of Spain …), gold saw its role as a refuge against the sovereign risk increased. "In the absence of sustained recovery, the sovereign risk could easily extend to other countries (Greece, Portugal, Italy)," said Francois Chevallier, strategist bank Leonardo. "The famous precious metal is seen as a safe asset, since it can serve as a currency of last resort. The rise of gold is made to last, "says Nicolas Rajna, spokesman of ETF Securities.

His recent relapse of 1110 dollars per ounce should nevertheless encourage investors to remain vigilant. Assets designated as refuge values, like gold, could well turn into a speculative bubble ready to explode at any moment."The rise in gold is a mystery because apparently solitary, said Francois Chevallier. Gold, regarded as a raw material is recovered much faster than oil. He has also climbed more than euro (safe haven against the dollar) and that long rates (safe haven against the indefatigable), and that while risk aversion continued to decline. " The virtues of gold have been recently confirmed by the decision of large countries in the world to mobilize some of the gold reserves of the International Monetary Fund to finance its activities in support of emerging economies. The global financial crisis has led to the resurrection of the barbarous relic. It is certainly less sure she keeps that relationship once the crisis is resolved.

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Now that the reform of business tax is completed, the government will tackle, in January, a new project: the revision of rental values. These rental values are "administered" price of a home or business premises, prices of base used to calculate local taxes. Since they have not been revised since 1970, today they are disconnected from reality. Result: an inhabitant of a building of faded 1960s pay for the same area, more housing tax or property tax that a household living in an old building, dilapidated forty years ago but now renovated. An updating of rental values would end these inequities. But the losers – typically, the people of downtown – could see their local taxes rise by 50%!

Companies are not immune to these distortions."In our barometer for the property tax offices in Boulogne-Billancourt is a city that offers the tax rate the lowest among major cities (except Paris). But it appears 35th on the total cost of fees per square meter, due to higher rental values, "explains Pascal Martinet, director of tax audits of Alma Consulting Group, a consulting firm.

Revision of rental values, however, looks less sensitive to process for companies, because these do not vote. Precisely, the Budget Ministry, Eric Woerth, in charge of this matter, decided to tackle the reform starting with the company. "The dated nature of the bases is more strongly for local business," says his entourage.But the idea is mainly to see what happens revision bases for some 4 million of commercial premises, before launching a big bang about 32 million homes inhabited by the French.

Involve local and parliamentary

Gilles Carrez, the UMP rapporteur of the Committee on Finance of the Assembly, calls for a long time for this method in two stages. In contrast, Jean Arthuis, the centrist chairman of the Committee on Finance of the Senate, was opposed: "If the rental values no longer follow the same rules must be applied to property tax rates for different individuals and companies." At Bercy, we judge that this is not a problem.

Specifically, the Budget Ministry has put in place by January of working groups composed of members of associations of local elected officials, parliamentarians and government officials. "We did not set deadlines for completion.Everything depends on the speed of the consultation. We have no preconceived ideas on how to use ", said the entourage of Eric Woerth. In fact, the options are many. The leasehold basis can be stowed on the market value or remain an administrative prices set by the Treasury. The revision of bases may occur at the same date for all buildings in France or locally, by local, when a sale. Another option: the mayors may have liberty to set the timing of revision.

Finally, the impact of revisions will probably be spread over time to smooth the impact to taxpayers.

"Taxes geometry varies

"Rents: new coverage for owners

The outlines of the reform of business tax does not end up being redesigned. While the bill contains funds that the text is finally adopted this afternoon, the government has introduced yet another amendment.

Responding to a request by senators, Eric Woerth has indeed held to reintroduce an element of equalization in the distribution to local communities of the future contribution of value-added businesses (CVAE), which replaces, with the contribution of property, business tax . Specifically, one quarter of the proceeds received from this CVAE be taken in favor of an equalization fund, then transferred to regions and departments in accordance with economic and social.A measure designed to correct inequalities that may be caused by the territoriality of the contribution.

All these changes will not affect business leaders, set for some time about the nature of the contribution they must pay. The business tax, which will disappear in 2010, is in effect replaced by a double contribution: the contribution of corporate property, sitting on the rental value of land occupied buildings, and the famous contribution of value-added businesses, paid from 500.000 euros turnover.

While MPs this week to discuss the transformation of the company public limited company (now scheduled for 1 March), The Post takes this Thursday its board of directors last year. The estimated results for 2009 and the 2010 budget will be presented. One and one witness to the difficulties experienced by the Post Office. Reportedly, the net income group share estimate was 387 million euros this year, against 529 million in 2008. Operating income is below the targets: he would go below 500 million euros after a profit of 886 million euros in 2008. As for turnover, it is down 2% in one year. In 2008 it was 20.8 billion euros.

All the lights are red while the core business – mail – is severely mistreated. This year, volumes were down 6%. From never-seen.The spread of Internet exchanges is for many. The crisis has exacerbated the problem, mail is closely linked to changes in the gross domestic product (GDP).

"Divided by Three"

Next year does not reserve any good for the mail whose erosion is structural. Jean-Paul Bailly, President of La Poste, acknowledges. In June the group announced it expected a drop in volumes of 30% between 2008 and 2015, an assumption made by most major posts.

In his speech opening the general discussion at the National Assembly, Tuesday, Christian Estrosi, Minister of Industry, was even more pessimistic: "The volume of mail from Post diminish every day," said Minister.There is already – 10%, we will be – or even 50% – 60% in just three years! Again, this is not easy for a postal operator whose business is the heart of e-paper, to cope with the sharp rise of the Internet! "The consequences can be read in the accounts:" The benefits could be divided by three in just two years! "

However, the decline of mail could be offset next year by the growth of other business group, the bank and the package. The 2010 budget, presented on Thursday, would in any case this hypothesis. It builds on strength of sales in a very small increase.

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The change in status of the Post in March rejected

After several weeks of reflection, the verdict has finally fallen on the new method of fixing gas prices. The Ministry of Economy, which was to maneuver, just send the document to refer to the Regulatory Commission of Energy (CRE), for entry under the next year, after the publication of a decree .

The government, which ruled until then every three months on possible changes in gas prices, trying to remove a little of the game, at least in appearance. It will no longer once per year, one component of overall framing of the price curve of the molecule. This scheme seeks to prevent the State to meet in full psychodrama whenever Bercy opts for a rise in gas prices.

So now the company, GDF Suez, which will seize the regulator for a rate increase.Which regulator, after watching whether the incumbent's request is consistent with the pricing formula, make a binding opinion. Until now, the opinion of the CRE in the record setting gas prices was only advisory. In the new scheme, the Commission will therefore pose a greater weight.

However, uncertainties remain. In particular, what happens if gas prices are indexed on oil prices should fall? In the reference document, it is not called GDF Suez to decide in what direction. Similarly, it does not ask the regulator to pressure the company to obtain a reduction in charges.

"Let's just common sense: since oil prices are public, they bend permanently, GDF Suez will be forced to seek lower fares.Or the group will draw the wrath of both consumers and government, "says an industry expert.

Psychodrama

So much for the new scheme, at least in theory, developed by the government with the approval of other partners, beginning with GDF Suez. It remains now to see how it will apply in practice. It is hard, in fact, the government remain inactive in the face several repeated hikes in gas prices. Especially during elections, where the energy bill is regularly found in the heart of debates.

In short, despite government efforts, it is feared that this new device does not put an end to psychodramas on gas prices.

The carnage continues at the head of easyJet. After the departure of its chairman Colin Chandler and his CFO Jeff Carr, the British low-cost announcement Wednesday in a statement the departure of its CEO Andy Harrison June 30, 2010. It is seeking "new challenges". He especially wants to leave a vessel marked by the power struggle within the board. Andy Harrison had promised to stay at least until late May to offset the departures of other leaders.

In the aftermath, the leadership announced the departure of its interim President David Michels on 1 January. At that time, it will be replaced by Michael Rake, BT's current president and former chairman of KPMG.David Michels, who is temporarily acting in the position since the departure last April by Colin Chandler, will resume his post as first independent director.

The upheaval at the head of EasyJet explained by conflicts between the team leader and founder Stelios Haji-Iannou, holder of 38% of the carrier. While the former wish to pursue a growth strategy of the fleet, Stelios Haji-Iannou said it would be unwise to embark on this adventure in a recession.

These two new departures lead to renewal of any team in the space of one year. Five of the eight leaders are gone. In his statement to the London Stock Exchange, easyJet hopes that "these appointments will ensure continued strong leadership." In markets, the news is unwelcome. By late morning, the title loses 1.96% to 4.08 euros.

The Supreme Court has sentenced in mid-November the ISP Free, a subsidiary of Iliad, to pay 2,500 euros to one of his subscribers who had complained in 2004 unable to receive television has yet endorsed a bid Triple Play (offers TV / Telephone / Internet) in the latter.

The customer had initially attacked Free before a judge near Orleans, demanding repayment of sums paid as damages. The verdict delivered on 1 July 2008 had gone in the direction of the operator who spoke of the technical problems he had informed his client at the outset of his subscription.The judge had chosen and the "obligation of means" and not "result" to make its ruling.

"The obligation of result" reached by the Court of Cassation

The Court of Cassation found instead that Free was indeed subject to an obligation of result vis-?-vis his client to provide the service for which he had paid, and only one case of "force majeure" would could relieve the operator and justify the breach of his contractual obligation that the technical incidents are not mentioned.

Such a ruling could set a precedent.That case, in addition to its symbolic of the victory of a "simple" client on a company such as Free, has serious consequences for the entire sector, as it will force all providers to verify that TV services are actually available before offering them to their future customers, under penalty of prosecution.

Without recourse, the operator has been convicted yet declined comment.

Eric Woerth, the budget minister, has reiterated this morning: the cell regularization well close December 31, 2009. So far, this structure set up in April has treated almost a thousand cases of taxpayers wishing to come into line after having concealed their assets abroad. "I am satisfied with this figure. And we expect an acceleration in the last month, "said the minister. Still, the famous list of taxpayers with accounts in Switzerland alone has 3000 names.

The tax begins to have a clear profile of the French who look to the cell. In most cases the money was hidden in Switzerland. Other education, the vast majority of the repentant are people who have simply inherited assets hidden by their parents or grandparents."For these fraudsters liabilities, penalties are lower," said Philippe Parini, head of the Directorate General of Public Finance. In general, they can expect that the total tax bill (tax due, penalties and interest) does not exceed 15% of capital. The very purpose of cell regulation is allowing repentant negotiate the interest and penalties.

At December 31, this advantage disappears. "We do plan to tax audits in large numbers. People on the list of 3000 will not escape. In addition, we will create an account held by French residents abroad, "said Eric Woerth. This file, called "Evafisc" will be powered by the 3,000 names. But not only. Earlier this year, published a decree that will create a real right of communication vis-?-vis banks in France.Clearly, the Treasury will request them to submit all transactions exceeding a certain amount made to certain countries over time. The focus will change each year. "For 2010, we will examine the banks' transactions from 2006 to Switzerland, Singapore and Hong Kong," said Eric Woerth.

The method will she work? It should be a little naive indeed to get his money from France through a bank. "Think again. Some believe going into armored pipes. Marketing of banks is effectively "the minister said.