Archive for the ‘international’ Category

Wall Street resumes

June 8, 2011 - 1:08 am Comments Off

U.S. stock markets open up on Tuesday. The Dow Jones advance of 0.32% at 12,126 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 and NASDAQ 100 respectively go up by 0.43% to 1292 points and 2713 points to 0.39%. On Monday, Wall Street has ended sharply lower. Markets are always hampered by bad macroeconomic indicators published U.S. these days who are fears of slowing growth overseas and the crisis of public finances in euro area continues to produce their effects.

Operators have very few indicators to follow this week to get a clearer picture of the economic situation. To 21 hours, however, U.S. investors will read the digits of consumer credit.U.S. carriers like their European counterparts, should be particularly attentive to developments in the crisis of public finances in Europe. Aurel BGC specialists also worry about the constraints of increasingly heavy burden on U.S. banks that ultimately risk, according to them to make them more restrictive in the distribution of credits. The real estate sector, already in bad shape for many years could suffer. The U.S. Treasury Secretary argues in favor of new rules to all U.S. financial world. It aims in particular the derivatives market.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is rising against the greenback at 1.4666 dollar.The dollar is under increasing pressure since the announcement late last week to disappointing figures on the labor market in the U.S., where the economy has created three times fewer jobs than expected in May, and where unemployment rate went up against all odds. And the oil markets, a barrel of losing 25 cents in New York at 98.76 dollars while that of Brent North Sea fell by 41 cents to 114.07 dollars in the morning. Investors await a meeting of OPEC in Vienna tomorrow could decide to increase production.

The side of values, the paper group American International Paper (30.88% to 4.15 dollars) on Monday launched after the close of Wall Street, a hostile takeover bid for rival Temple-Inland for $ 3.3 billion in cash. International Paper has 30.6 dollars per share for 108.3 million shares floating.This represents a premium of 44% over the course of Monday afternoon, which was 21.21 dollars. Temple-Inland said that its board of directors rejected the offer of International Paper "after careful consideration" because it "grossly undervalues ​​Temple-Inland and is not in the interest of its shareholders" .

Apple Monday unveiled two new versions of its operating system Mac OS and IOS, and the novelty icloud should still be surrounded by very Bourse.

Sales of General Motors (+0.76% to 28.78 dollars) in China in May decreased by 2.7% over the same month last year, according to an AFP calculation based on Figures released Tuesday by the American manufacturer. The first global car market, GM has passed 190,674 vehicles. The group emphasizes that its sales in China for the first five months of 2011 reached a record of 1.079 million units.In 2010, General Motors was up 2.35 million vehicles in the Chinese market.

Also in the automotive industry, Ford Motor (1.87% to 14.17 dollars) is preparing to announce ambitious production targets, setting aims to sell 8 million vehicles a year by the middle the current decade, said on Tuesday the New York Times. The group, which currently produces 5.3 million vehicles per year, ranking it among the major automotive.In 2011, the global leader Toyota has sold 8.42 million vehicles.

The U.S. company RSA Security said Monday evening that information in connection with its products, recovered during a cyberattack, had served in another cyber attack against the defense group Lockheed Martin (-0.12% to 77.29 dollars), and proposed to replace its equipment.

The French group Mersen (ex-Carbone Lorraine), specializing in high performance components for industry, today announced a cooperation agreement "long term" with the U.S. manufacturer of glass and advanced ceramics Corning.

Walt Disney Studios (0.66% to 39.66 dollars) would consider dismissing 250 employees, or 5% of their staff around the world, especially at company headquarters in California (West), said Monday U.S. media specialist.

The British oil group BP (0.93% to 44.35 dollars), listed on Wall Street has informed the co-shareholders of its Russian joint venture TNK-BP that it might sell shares in it at Russian oil giant public Rosneft to boost its proposed alliance with the latter, says the Wall Street Journal on Tuesday.

Occupation: reduce immigration, a red herring for economists

May 27, 2011 - 5:24 am Comments Off

In recent weeks the government has repeatedly expressed its willingness to reduce migration flows. In April, the Interior Minister, Claude Gueant, promised "to bring down the volume of legal immigration." This week, the immigration of work he begins work. "Contrary to legend, France did not need the skills of immigrant, said the minister. It has the resources necessary "to fill its vacancies and" did not need bricklayers nor servers restaurants. "It is common sense," outbid Tuesday Budget Minister Baroin. A sense that still leaves many economists skeptical.

"On paper, it may be tempting to put face to face and unemployed immigrants," said Patrick Simon, a demographer at INED.If the French labor market was free of immigrants, it would make it not even more vacancies for indigenous peoples whose unemployment rate is one of the main concerns? "They forget that these two categories of people are not interchangeable," said Patrick Simon. Clearly, natives and immigrants do not occupy the same types of jobs, and make little competition. "They would rather complementary. And in this regard, there is a relative consensus, says Xavier Chojnicki, economist at CEPII and University of Lille 2. Most studies find indeed a very small impact of immigration on unemployment. "

"In France and Europe, the labor market is very segmented," he says. Immigrants often occupy low-skilled jobs, low wages, difficult working conditions.Areas of restoration, construction and personal services for example, still struggling to fill jobs that natives consider insufficiently attractive. According to the latest survey on the needs of labor performed by employment center, 61% of the offers of aid to home and pose difficulties for recruitment. "If the stream of immigration had to be reduced, this would create further difficulties in recruitment of these areas," said Xavier Chojnicki. With a probable consequence of a sharp rise in the black.

20,000 people per year

"In addition, try to reduce labor migration is surprising because it includes more migrants selected," Patrick says Simon.These 20,000 people a year who come to work in France at the request of business owners do in fact represent a small fraction of the 200,000 immigrants who settle there each year, including family reunification or humanitarian grounds. "Employers expect an easing of the rules because they need the foreign labor," he says.

Since 2006 and until recently, Nicolas Sarkozy also advocated for a "selective immigration", encouraging the arrival of candidates selected according to their professional profile. "Since then, labor migration has increased from 10,000 to 20,000 per year," said Patrick Simon. A marginal number compared to 500,000 job vacancies currently unfilled in France. "In total, this is not much either compared to the total migratory flow," J. demographer.Because France, like most European countries, is struggling to bring immigrants into its territory the most attractive. As such, Canada, Australia or the United States doing well ahead of the game their best

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The Cac 40 in heavy decline seen

May 25, 2011 - 1:32 pm Comments Off

On Wednesday morning, the Cac 40 should fall: the index futures yield 0.96% to 8.20am. Yesterday, the index stabilized at above 3900 points, after starting the week on a Loude loss. Concerns over debt crisis persists European: German morale, according to Gfk survey, should continue its degradation in June for the third straight month due to the debt crisis in the euro zone and the outbreak oil. The index shows a decrease to 5.5 against 5.7 in May In addition, the Netherlands and Germany are threatening to commit the privatization of the Greek economy to foreign experts, reveals leFinancial Times.A new threat which seeks to lobby the Greek government to take drastic cost-saving measures.

All eyes are turning to the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde, the favorite to succeed DSK to head the International Monetary Fund, which should give a press conference "important" to the Department late Wednesday morning. Moreover, in France, we look particularly figures on registered job seekers and job advertisements collected by Pole in April. Baroin, Minister of Labour, has already warned that the unemployment rate would decline again in April for the fourth consecutive month.With regard to the Icelandic volcano, France should be minimally affected, which should reassure the airline industry.

Next major economic figures to be followed today: in France, we will look particularly figures on registered unemployed and job advertisements collected by Pole in April. In Germany, the GfK barometer of consumer sentiment will be released at 8:30. United States, is expected at 14:30 durable goods orders in April, at 16.30, the weekly inventory of crude oil.

Airbus confident for Le Bourget

Side companies, consumer complaints of gas and electricity rose 25% in 2010, about problems with their energy supplier.The mediator of Energy notes that complaints from customers at 43% of GDF Suez, to 38% of EDF, 12% of Direct Energy and 4% of customers Poweo payday advance.

Airbus and its parent EADS were optimistic Tuesday on future orders at the Paris Air Show in June in a market "active."

The French group Alstom and its Chinese joint venture Casco signed two contracts worth a total of 85 million euros for the supply of signaling systems in metros of Shanghai (east) and Kunming (south).

The partner of minority shareholders (Adam) who assigned Tuesday referred the saddle for Hermes "deprive" the essential rights of family voting at the next general meeting, has been confronted with an invalid procedure and case was adjourned to July 12.Or after the meeting to be held June 30

Casino on Tuesday denied having agreed to the opening of the opening of negotiations between the Brazilian distributor GPA, which holds 35%, and Carrefour Brazil.

PPR and Volcom announced Tuesday it had received notification of the end of the statutory review period on the bid of French on the American brand.

Rexel announced Tuesday it had won its bond issue of 500 million euros, whose order book has surpassed 1.8 billion euros.

Eurazeo Tuesday announced a capital increase, offering its shareholders one new share for 20 old shares held as of May 25, 2011.

The land Gecina in 2nd place behind France in Unibail-Rodamco will continue to sell its assets in Spain and in the logistics industry, said Tuesday its chief executive Christophe Clamageran.

BioMerieux announced Tuesday that the Health Authority (FDA) had recorded rapid testing and automated molecular diagnostic NucliSENS EasyQ MRSA screening for patients infected with Staphylococcus aureus resistant to methicillin.

Europacorp publish its annual turnover, while LCD (poultry) will announce its annual results after-hours trading.

The war in Libya has already cost 50 million

May 6, 2011 - 4:24 am Comments Off

A month and a half after the start of hostilities, the war in Libya has already cost 50 million euros to France. Gerard Longuet, the defense minister, that figure dropped Tuesday before the Committee on National Defence, says Les Echos.

The invoice missiles fired by fighter planes is around 30 million euros each cruise missile costing nearly a million. We add the operating costs of aircraft: the flight time of a Rafale is estimated at 40,000 euros and time response of the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle to 50,000 euros. Premiums paid to military also weigh on the bill, amounting to nearly 10 million.

The war is not over and the cost of operations should increase if the conflict stalled. But whatever the final cost of these unforeseen expenses will be funded.The budget of the Ministry of Defence was counting on 900 million euros for external operations in 2011, an amount identical to that of 2010, with approximately $ 500 million for Afghanistan. Of this amount, 630 million euros have been budgeted and 50 million are expected from the UN, says Les Echos. Thus, 220 million are already short and we must add the cost of expenditures in Libya. Part of the money spent in Libya are at present drawn from the budgets of the military trainings that may not be sufficient, however. Time and budget constraints, the sum could be more difficult to refinance.

To international funding Libyan rebels

The "contact group" on Libya has agreed Thursday on the creation of a mechanism of financial support to insurgents fighting against the regime of Muammar Gaddafi.The special fund will be temporary "operational within the next few weeks," said the head of French diplomacy Alain Juppe, after a group meeting in Rome. "The temporary funding mechanism set in Doha is now well defined" so as to be "operational in the coming weeks," said the French minister told reporters.

After the announcement of the participation of the United States, France "also define" the height of his contributions soon, he added.

The National Transitional Council (CNT) formed by the insurgent wants to be granted loans totaling two to three billion dollars to cover its needs for food and medicines, to ensure essential services in areas it controls and to pay salaries.About 250 million has "already" been collected for humanitarian aid to Libya, said the Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini.

This request has so far been examined carefully in the Western embassies, particularly because of legal obstacles that the Rome meeting was intended to circumvent.

The administration formed by the insurgents is far recognized only by France, Italy and Qatar.

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Superfluity and luxury are less expensive

April 12, 2011 - 11:28 am Comments Off

No democratic government would dare to address and to his people. "If they have no bread, let them eat cake" Marie Antoinette would have said in the fall 1789. Similarly in the third century, the Chinese emperor Huida Jin replied to his subjects desperate to get rice, "Why do not they eat meat?" Such arrogance is more appropriate. But strangely, the board would surely relevant today. In our industrialized societies and hypertechniques, buns, indeed, increasing more slowly. They are sometimes even cheaper than home-made bread. It's the world upside down: the more a product is essential and its prices are soaring.And conversely, anything that is sophisticated, even a questionable value, such as electronic gadgets, continues to be cheaper.

The remark of Marie Antoinette, perhaps apocryphal – Jean-Jacques Rousseau, who died eleven years earlier, told the same thing to a "princess" in his Confessions – anticipates fully functioning modern economy. Core resources become scarcer and more expensive, but we regorgeons of superfluous goods.

Americans talk about "biflation"

This paradox is one of the structural features of globalization, as we said Xavier Timbeau, director of the OFCE (French Observatory of Economic Conditions). On the one hand, rare goods, whether oil, farmland, building land or water, whose supply is naturally limited.On the other, the industrial production capacity almost endless with the arrival of new players and technology advancement. The Treasury has calculated that the Bercy "the global labor supply has more than doubled between 1980 and 2006" on the market of international trade. And that's not going to stop. The UN considers that 'the world's population of working age will increase by 40% by 2050. " Even the experts the less catastrophic, as the International Energy Agency, never imagine that oil production is growing at this rate. It instead addresses his reflux.

This disparity between two types of products has already resulted in a dramatic upheaval in relative prices. In France, "the purchase price of vehicles" increased from just under 10% since 1998, according to Insee, while "fuel and lubricants' jumped 78%.These figures do make sense only when compared to the higher minimum wage that was 46.8% over the same period. "The acquisition of a car is less expensive, but it is more expensive to roll," says Xavier Timbeau. INSEE also considers that the cost of using a car weighs 2.4 times more than its purchase in the budget of a French household.

Across the Atlantic, the Americans, always eager to create new concepts, coined a neologism to express this reality in two speeds. They speak of "biflation", meaning the coexistence of inflation and deflation. "Inflation is What We Need, deflation is What We Want" on one side, sharp increases for all products required, which can not be happen in real life and on the other hand, price declines for purchases may be delayed.Housing and automobiles belong to this second category, because U.S. households, overburdened, are reluctant to use credit, which tends to depress their markets.

The "bi" is characteristic of periods of transition

The very term "biflation" was created in 2003 by Osborne Brown, a financial analyst from Phoenix Investment Group, at a time when there was already wondering if the U.S. economy did not run the risk of depression. The debate has rebounded in recent months with the monetary policy of the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke. The head of the U.S. central bank says there is no inflation in the U.S., since the increase in consumer prices is just 1.1% over one year if one ignores food and energy.

But the price of gas soaring, now exceeding $ 4 a gallon (3.78 liters) in California, when they fell to $ 1.67 in December 2008, the worst of the crisis Financial. Heavily enough to amputate the purchasing power of households. Bernanke is also accused by the Republicans to fuel speculation on commodities, through its policy of cheap money too. Which penalizes savers, particularly pensioners, whose income depends largely on the level of interest rates …

France is also struck by the syndrome of "biflation", although unlike the U.S. housing market would rank rather camp in the inflationary exuberance for reasons of physical inadequacy of housing specific Hexagon . There is no doubt that the term "biflation" is spreading among us.In the press, swears by the "bimédia" to describe the juxtaposition of newspapers printed (print) and information sites on the Internet (Web). The "bi" is characteristic of periods of transition. Oh so painful periods, as at dawn and dusk, when no one knows distinguish between dog and wolf.

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Ireland: the banks need $ 24 billion

April 1, 2011 - 10:32 am Comments Off

The Irish banking crisis broke on Thursday, a new step, long awaited by Brussels, and markets. The Irish Central Bank revealed the results of resistance tests carried out over several weeks out of four banks: Allied Irish Bank (AIB), Bank of Ireland (BoI), Irish Life & Permanent and EBS. Needs additional capital to face a new crisis, amounted to 24 billion euros, or 15% of GDP in the island! – A sum higher than experts expected.

On Thursday, shares AIB, BoI and IL & P, have been suspended from the Dublin Stock Exchange and London, on rumors of nationalization of industry.The bancassurer Irish Life is the latest Irish lending agency not to be nationalized, while the share of the State Bank of Ireland is 36%.

Immediately known the results of resistance testing, Finance Minister Michael Noonan announced in Parliament a tough restructuring of the banking sector, which will be reduced to two entities, and will pass under state care. The minister also urged the private sector to share the burden of this rescue banking, that is to say to accept capital losses on debts "senior". Irish bank plan must now be approved by the European Union.

This assumption of private sector participation thrilled markets since the arrival of the new center-left government, less agreeable with foreign investors.The debt holders are covered by Dublin big German banks, the UK, but also some Belgian or French establishments.

The government wants to spare the taxpayer primarily Irish, who has already paid 45.8 billion euros for its banks in 2010, the price of a deficit of 32% of GDP. If we add 24 billion to pay the bill for the banking crisis in Ireland stands at 70 billion euros, or 43% of Irish GDP …

Support Berlin

In his tussle with bankers in Dublin on Thursday received the support of Germany noted, highly exposed to debt in Ireland. "We must stop signing blank checks to the banks!" Weber said Thursday, the outgoing president of the Bundesbank.While the Irish banking bill will ultimately influence all European taxpayers, including German, Axel Weber insists that private creditors bear some responsibility.

Chancellor Angela Merkel is on the same wavelength. "It would be terrible for the acceptance of the social market economy, if banks should not count on automatic support from governments, simply because of their systemic importance," she said, echoing Weber.

To recapitalize its banks, Ireland will inevitably make use of its European neighbors. The bailout of 85 billion euros to Ireland, the island which contributes up to 17.5 billion, includes 35 billion euros for the banks, of which 10 billion is available immediately.The remaining 25 billion euros are stuck in a reserve fund, which was not supposed to be liquidated this year. Ireland, however, should pay its share for the recapitalization: 10 billion euros. Europe will provide 15 billion euros through a bond issue launched by the European financial stabilization.

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Mobile tariffs will fall again

March 25, 2011 - 8:44 am Comments Off

Good news for consumers. The Regulatory Authority for Electronic Communications and Posts (ARCEP) announced Thursday a further decline in mobile termination rate from 33% in July to EUR 2 cents per minute on 1 July and 25% at 1 January 2012 to 1.5 cents, and 33% from 1 July 2012 to 1 penny. For the first time, Bouygues Telecom has aligned its competitors, while it had previously enjoyed more attractive tariffs to compensate for the fact that it came later that Orange and SFR on the market.

The steady decline for years that the wholesale rate that will bill them traders, had a direct impact on the price paid by the consumer. It is this drop in prices which has allowed carriers to launch regular called "Abundance" with unlimited calls to certain time slots or to certain numbers selected by the subscriber.It again this fall in wholesale prices which allowed for a few months some traders make free calls from a landline to a mobile. But Arcep, which aims to reduce the average bill in the French mobile phone since late 2008 reducing the cost of call termination charges that one operator to another communication channel to one of its customers, believes there is a "distinct evolutionary potential."

The reduction in call termination, which affect the price paid by users, is sought by consumer groups and supported by the European Commission. Telecom operators are generally opposed. The movement is widespread in Europe.This week, the UK telecoms regulator, Ofcom, announced a 80% decline in wholesale prices in Britain by 2015 to 0.69 pence per minute for four operators (O2, Everything Everywhere Vodafone and 3 UK).

Pixmania emphasizes diversification

March 21, 2011 - 9:40 pm Comments Off

Upstream, Steve Rosenblum said that the policy of the company "has always been to work in harmony with vendors trying to promote all of their product lines. Our suppliers are our partners. Today, worldwide distribution and electronics or computer vendors can make or break retailers.

A new application

Recently, Pixmania has launched a new shopping application common online with partner Leetchi.com in order to offer gifts through Facebook. The principle is to create a pool with several, each of which may pay the sum of its choice, the beneficiary then purchases on Pixmania with the money received. "When they communicate with each other, with friends or family, our customers are mainly on social networks such as Facebook.It was obvious to us to make the link between the application of social network and e-commerce site that wants easy access to and usable by the greatest number, "said Steve Rosenblum.

Anxious to maintain a good reputation on the Web, Pixmania has a pole of a dozen people who monitor the forums and answer questions from consumers, including when they encounter a problem. With this dedicated team, Pixmania has been awarded three months ago E-Marketing Award for Best Community Strategy. Marketing side, a team of a hundred people keeps track of customer information, "to better understand their needs and provide them with appropriate solutions, not too often, but certainly relevant and timely .

The hospital has eliminated 10,000 jobs in 2009

March 16, 2011 - 3:56 am Comments Off

Reversal. After steady growth for at least fifteen years, and accérélée the early 2000s to offset the effects of 35 hours, the number of public hospitals have stabilized in 2008 (-0.06%). And for the first time they fell in 2009 -9800 full-time equivalent positions, according to official statistics and final unveiled this morning by The Daily of the physician.

This figure represents less than 1.3% of total hospital staff, which is almost 753,000 jobs. The administrative staff, technical workers and retreat, and those of carers are slightly higher (stability for nurses in particular).These efforts have helped reduce the deficit in hospitals increased from 686 to 512 million euros from 2007, according to figures announced by the then health minister, Roselyne Bachelot.

Each institution is legally independent and therefore free to manage its workforce, the rule of non-replacement of staff on two retiring – which has prevailed for the five-year state officials – does not apply to hospital . In this case, this reduction amounts to almost 10,000 jobs do not replace one out of four. Over five years, the numbers remain on the upside. And all these data are not doctors, accounted for separately: their number rose 3.2% year on year to $ 64,500.

Courbit ready to open it from its group

March 5, 2011 - 10:52 pm Comments Off

Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphic.

"It went faster than I imagined, and it was more complicated than expected," says Stéphane Courbit. In three years, the former head of production company Endemol France, famous for having developed the reality show in France, has built a group active in television, online gaming and energy. A mini-empire of 4,500 employees in 25 countries, whose companies have made last year a total of over 1, 2 billion euros in turnover and net profit accumulated close to 150 million euros.

At age 45, urged the contractor, a graduate of the ISG, which started as an assistant of Christophe Dechavanne before getting a company with host Arthur is ready to move up a gear.To achieve this it plans to open the capital of his personal holding company LOV (reference to his children, Lilac, Vanilla and Oscar) to investors. "We want to go from 150 to 200,000,000 euros in 24 months," says Stephane Le Figaro Courbit. We could bring partners, family investors, because we have plans for large acquisitions in television and gambling on the Internet. LOV could double or triple in size over the next three years. "To begin, Stephane Courbit is ready to sell 15-20% stake in LOV, but wished to maintain control. "Within 3-4 years, we will ask the Stock Exchange," he says.

The increased funding is unquestionably one of his concerns. Until then, to maximize its investment capacity, LOV was always associated with the level of its major subsidiaries.The company holds Stéphane Courbit and a third of Banijay, and the Society of sea bathing has half the activity online games. By opening the capital of LOV, with 300 million fully invested, he will restore the resources to support its subsidiaries, that follows closely. Day by day.

"With the exception of Direct Energy, we are operational in the societies in which we invest. LOV is an industrial group focused on the content and the Internet, "he says. Each business is run by officials in close contact with Stéphane Courbit himself. "I would like to distance, I withdraw from daily life, but it's hard, it's against nature," says the entrepreneur, who feels closer industrialists and financiers high quality business cards. "I worked 15 years in television.I invest in what I understand or control. "Following this logic, Direct Energy is a special case. "Direct Energy is the only investment that is not in the heart of our business, my only opportunistic investment. I went with Jacques Veyrat and the Louis-Dreyfus. I would never have gone alone, "he acknowledges.

In fact, LOV was developed mainly in three areas: gambling on the Internet, television and the Internet. "In total, we invested $ 300 million since end 2007: 100 million in Direct Energy, 100 in TV, 50 in 50 games and the Internet."

Towards a rapprochement with Poweo

For the future, Stephane Courbit intends to develop without LOV away from his heart craft. In gambling online BetClick has become the leader in France in paris sport with 45% market share.The company claims a place in the Top 3 in Europe, but it still has weaknesses. "We could make acquisitions in Spain and Germany," says Stéphane Courbit. In France, the company loses money after investing heavily in marketing last year to take advantage of market liberalization. "We invested 40 million euros in six months. This year, we focus our communication efforts on football by sponsoring Marseille and Lyon.

In audiovisual production, Stephane Courbit has united around its Banijay company, Groupe Arnault, the Agnelli family and Agostini. In three years he has rebuilt a group of 240 million euros, which generates two thirds of the group's net profit.Banijay includes ten production companies in France, Scandinavia, Spain, Germany and the United States.

The idea is to develop original formats in one country for use in all others. "We need to catch the first two sector Endemol and Fremantle and for that we climb up to one billion euros of turnover. The first step is to locate in Britain, an important market that we're missing. We are talking with a British company. "

In energy, the profitable development of Direct Energy is largely related to changes in the price of electricity sold by EDF operators. A reconciliation Poweo would make sense. Stéphane Courbit ranks rather an observer who does not opt out if an opportunity presents itself.