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Greece Is in default? For Baroin and Valerie Pécresse, the answer is no. The Minister of Economy, interviewed on RTL on Friday morning, and budget minister, responding to RMC, however, swept this term used by many analysts in the wake of the passage of the bailout of the country, which provides including an extension of the term loan to Greece and lower borrowing rates. "This track is discarded because it would result in the destabilization of the deep zone," said Baroin. "These are not the words we use. Greece will repay its debt, "added Valerie Pécresse.

According to the Minister of Economy, the "partial failure" is that "legal characterization" that rating agencies could use in the coming days. "They will do what they want," says he.The derivatives market professionals, meeting within the International Swaps and Derivatives Association "(ISDA), should just meet in the coming days," probably "even today, to determine whether the new aid plan Greece is a "credit event".

Whatever their decision, Baroin determines that the plan provides an adequate response to address the situation: "This plan is a firewall. There will be the Central Bank to play its role as lender and the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), more flexible, which will intervene to prevent attacks by speculators. "

Banks will no longer be sought in the future

For the Minister of Economy, the agreement reached in Brussels provides answers "exceptional, deep, powerful, durable giving guarantees to Greece to support the continuity of its delivery to an acceptable level.""This is a response to avoid any risk of infection by a public-private and technical arrangements for the European fund, which also outlines the future prospects of the future European economic governance," he added. Regarding private sector involvement, the economy minister reiterated that private creditors are not required to save other countries in the euro area. "This is not one second that the private sector finds himself called for a voluntary basis for Portugal, Ireland, which are two other countries in the European assistance," he said firmly.

"Many things have changed yesterday. It was a real go of history which gives a more stable Europe, "said Baroin. Valérie Pécresse also welcomes the "Instrument for Stability" what happened to the EFSF, "beginning of a European Monetary Fund."She said the new rescue plan was necessary to "save and protect the euro." "This is a reference currency that allows France to have the confidence of investors. If we had dropped Greece, it was the French who would have paid, "she says.

The government spokesman also announced that "the Prime Minister will receive all 11 hours of national representation: the Senate president, the president of the National Assembly, the chairmen of Finance, European Affairs to present the rescue plan for Greece, which was adopted yesterday and tell them the consequences for France. "

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"SPECIAL – The states facing bankruptcy

European banks may need to raise 80 billion euros, to reassure the markets. A report by JPMorgan Cazenove, led by analyst Kian Abouhossein, estimates that if the level of reserve requirements is strictly adhered to 7%, nearly two banks will raise new money. French banks Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole would need twenty billion.After the publication of this note, banking stocks are displayed among the largest declines in the Cac 40: while the benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange was down 1.13% to 10.30, Credit Agricole wipes a drop of 1.77%, BNP Paribas was down 2.05% and Societe Generale lost 3.08%.

But French banks are not the only ones to be shamed by JPMorgan Cazenove, which encrypts needs capital to 25 billion euros for UK institutions and 14 billion euros for German lenders, including Deutsche Bank . The Italian UniCredit, Credit Suisse and Santander are also cited in the report.

This study revealed the results of stress tests published last Friday by the EBA.These tests, built on capital requirements as 5%, entered into a need to refinance 2.5 billion euros for eight of the 90 banks assessed, including any French. But investors believe these tests inadequate, particularly criticizing for not sufficiently taken into account the default risk in Greece. JPMorgan Cazenove said the criticism in his study, indicating that these stress tests have "limited value".

The evolution of banking stocks on European stock markets will be very observed on Monday morning to find Investors Arbitration between the reassuring results of stress tests and numerical study of JPMorgan. In March, ratings agency Standard & Poor's had conducted its own tests of resistance.His conclusion: European banks would need 250 billion euros of additional capital.

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Objective: London Olympics 2012! The challenge is ambitious Laure Manaudou but probably not impossible. "She recovered in the skin of a champion," said Gilles Portelli, CEO of Havas Sports & Entertainment. Absent from the basins since September 18, 2009, the swimming is preparing to make his comeback this Thursday in Athens to the United States. She has eight months to return to competitive, qualified for the Olympics taking place in mid-March. His former mentor, Philippe Lucas, believes it. "It's a good thing for French sport. It changed, it is a mother. She has thought through many things. Swimming was missing.

The importance of achieving good performance will depend in fact a new interest of major sponsors (Lancel, EDF, Arena, among others) who have stopped working when she announced her retirement. These contracts Lancel, EDF Arena and allowed him to reach about three million euros per year between 2007 and 2009. Reportedly, the contract of sponsorship with the chairman of PPR, through his holding company Artemis, who reported one million euros per year, is suspended and not broken. Discussions are therefore underway between the two parties to try to bring back Laure Manaudou and Francois Pinault.But suddenly, its value would decline significantly Advertising (LPG contract with him would bring 200 million euros per year). Necessarily all brands can not match the prices of luxury brands. " Most experts interviewed do not believe that the financial aspect is the main motivation behind this "comeback". "She would have stopped swimming in this case," explains Gilles Portella.

After accumulating the gold medals like pearls and posted disappointing results, shaken by romantic escapades, Laure Manaudou is trying to write a new story of his sporting career. "She now has a stable life, a companion who is immersed in the world of swimming (Frederick Bousquet) and one child (a little old Manon a little over a year). The risk of "relapse" is lower, "said François Guyot. But not nonexistent.

Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier, the head of Saxo Bank

Overtax businesses too generous with their leaders. The idea was launched by Prime Minister Francois Fillon in an interview published Saturday in Nice Matin: "With the government, I think about a device that is to overtax the companies issuing exorbitant fees."

The head of government is responding to the proposal of Xavier Bertrand, Minister of Labour and Employment, to "tax" or "frame" the "extravagant salaries." It lampooned in an interview published Thursday by Les Echos code of conduct drawn up on the subject of big salaries. "Write a code of conduct is good. The enforcement is better, "he said. Considering that some large companies did not comply with these principles, the Minister has threatened to legislate on the issue.

Shocked by some earnings

In Nice Matin, François Fillon rejects such an approach in trying to punish companies through a tax rather than the bosses through a ceiling unsurpassable. If it says "shocked" by some remuneration of senior executives, the Prime Minister "not [believe] not the regulation of wages for some totally disconnected from economic reality of the business and wage negotiations." However, he called the companies to regulate themselves. If they do not, the government will make decisions, he added.

The salaries of officers of the CAC 40 rose 19% in 2010 compared to 2011 according to a study of the expansion. Their average salary was 4.2 million.And increases do not always correspond to performance industrial markets.

No revaluation of the minimum wage

François Fillon said in the same interview in Nice morning that there would be no boost given to the minimum wage at its next revaluation. "Today, it would be an economic mistake. This will overwrite the hierarchy of wages and would drive up labor costs and thus unemployment, "he justified.

François Fillon has argued that "before 2000, the labor cost of products manufactured in France was on average 15% cheaper than in Germany."However, "since the 35 hours, this advantage was lost in some sectors such as agriculture and services, we are overtaking Germany," he said.

According to the Ministry of Labour and Employment, the next automatic adjustment of minimum wage-price inflation when the achieved 2% since the previous revaluation, "could take place" in August.

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U.S. stock markets open up on Tuesday. The Dow Jones advance of 0.32% at 12,126 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 and NASDAQ 100 respectively go up by 0.43% to 1292 points and 2713 points to 0.39%. On Monday, Wall Street has ended sharply lower. Markets are always hampered by bad macroeconomic indicators published U.S. these days who are fears of slowing growth overseas and the crisis of public finances in euro area continues to produce their effects.

Operators have very few indicators to follow this week to get a clearer picture of the economic situation. To 21 hours, however, U.S. investors will read the digits of consumer credit.U.S. carriers like their European counterparts, should be particularly attentive to developments in the crisis of public finances in Europe. Aurel BGC specialists also worry about the constraints of increasingly heavy burden on U.S. banks that ultimately risk, according to them to make them more restrictive in the distribution of credits. The real estate sector, already in bad shape for many years could suffer. The U.S. Treasury Secretary argues in favor of new rules to all U.S. financial world. It aims in particular the derivatives market.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is rising against the greenback at 1.4666 dollar.The dollar is under increasing pressure since the announcement late last week to disappointing figures on the labor market in the U.S., where the economy has created three times fewer jobs than expected in May, and where unemployment rate went up against all odds. And the oil markets, a barrel of losing 25 cents in New York at 98.76 dollars while that of Brent North Sea fell by 41 cents to 114.07 dollars in the morning. Investors await a meeting of OPEC in Vienna tomorrow could decide to increase production.

The side of values, the paper group American International Paper (30.88% to 4.15 dollars) on Monday launched after the close of Wall Street, a hostile takeover bid for rival Temple-Inland for $ 3.3 billion in cash. International Paper has 30.6 dollars per share for 108.3 million shares floating.This represents a premium of 44% over the course of Monday afternoon, which was 21.21 dollars. Temple-Inland said that its board of directors rejected the offer of International Paper "after careful consideration" because it "grossly undervalues ​​Temple-Inland and is not in the interest of its shareholders" .

Apple Monday unveiled two new versions of its operating system Mac OS and IOS, and the novelty icloud should still be surrounded by very Bourse.

Sales of General Motors (+0.76% to 28.78 dollars) in China in May decreased by 2.7% over the same month last year, according to an AFP calculation based on Figures released Tuesday by the American manufacturer. The first global car market, GM has passed 190,674 vehicles. The group emphasizes that its sales in China for the first five months of 2011 reached a record of 1.079 million units.In 2010, General Motors was up 2.35 million vehicles in the Chinese market.

Also in the automotive industry, Ford Motor (1.87% to 14.17 dollars) is preparing to announce ambitious production targets, setting aims to sell 8 million vehicles a year by the middle the current decade, said on Tuesday the New York Times. The group, which currently produces 5.3 million vehicles per year, ranking it among the major automotive.In 2011, the global leader Toyota has sold 8.42 million vehicles.

The U.S. company RSA Security said Monday evening that information in connection with its products, recovered during a cyberattack, had served in another cyber attack against the defense group Lockheed Martin (-0.12% to 77.29 dollars), and proposed to replace its equipment.

The French group Mersen (ex-Carbone Lorraine), specializing in high performance components for industry, today announced a cooperation agreement "long term" with the U.S. manufacturer of glass and advanced ceramics Corning.

Walt Disney Studios (0.66% to 39.66 dollars) would consider dismissing 250 employees, or 5% of their staff around the world, especially at company headquarters in California (West), said Monday U.S. media specialist.

The British oil group BP (0.93% to 44.35 dollars), listed on Wall Street has informed the co-shareholders of its Russian joint venture TNK-BP that it might sell shares in it at Russian oil giant public Rosneft to boost its proposed alliance with the latter, says the Wall Street Journal on Tuesday.

In recent weeks the government has repeatedly expressed its willingness to reduce migration flows. In April, the Interior Minister, Claude Gueant, promised "to bring down the volume of legal immigration." This week, the immigration of work he begins work. "Contrary to legend, France did not need the skills of immigrant, said the minister. It has the resources necessary "to fill its vacancies and" did not need bricklayers nor servers restaurants. "It is common sense," outbid Tuesday Budget Minister Baroin. A sense that still leaves many economists skeptical.

"On paper, it may be tempting to put face to face and unemployed immigrants," said Patrick Simon, a demographer at INED.If the French labor market was free of immigrants, it would make it not even more vacancies for indigenous peoples whose unemployment rate is one of the main concerns? "They forget that these two categories of people are not interchangeable," said Patrick Simon. Clearly, natives and immigrants do not occupy the same types of jobs, and make little competition. "They would rather complementary. And in this regard, there is a relative consensus, says Xavier Chojnicki, economist at CEPII and University of Lille 2. Most studies find indeed a very small impact of immigration on unemployment. "

"In France and Europe, the labor market is very segmented," he says. Immigrants often occupy low-skilled jobs, low wages, difficult working conditions.Areas of restoration, construction and personal services for example, still struggling to fill jobs that natives consider insufficiently attractive. According to the latest survey on the needs of labor performed by employment center, 61% of the offers of aid to home and pose difficulties for recruitment. "If the stream of immigration had to be reduced, this would create further difficulties in recruitment of these areas," said Xavier Chojnicki. With a probable consequence of a sharp rise in the black.

20,000 people per year

"In addition, try to reduce labor migration is surprising because it includes more migrants selected," Patrick says Simon.These 20,000 people a year who come to work in France at the request of business owners do in fact represent a small fraction of the 200,000 immigrants who settle there each year, including family reunification or humanitarian grounds. "Employers expect an easing of the rules because they need the foreign labor," he says.

Since 2006 and until recently, Nicolas Sarkozy also advocated for a "selective immigration", encouraging the arrival of candidates selected according to their professional profile. "Since then, labor migration has increased from 10,000 to 20,000 per year," said Patrick Simon. A marginal number compared to 500,000 job vacancies currently unfilled in France. "In total, this is not much either compared to the total migratory flow," J. demographer.Because France, like most European countries, is struggling to bring immigrants into its territory the most attractive. As such, Canada, Australia or the United States doing well ahead of the game their best

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On Wednesday morning, the Cac 40 should fall: the index futures yield 0.96% to 8.20am. Yesterday, the index stabilized at above 3900 points, after starting the week on a Loude loss. Concerns over debt crisis persists European: German morale, according to Gfk survey, should continue its degradation in June for the third straight month due to the debt crisis in the euro zone and the outbreak oil. The index shows a decrease to 5.5 against 5.7 in May In addition, the Netherlands and Germany are threatening to commit the privatization of the Greek economy to foreign experts, reveals leFinancial Times.A new threat which seeks to lobby the Greek government to take drastic cost-saving measures.

All eyes are turning to the Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde, the favorite to succeed DSK to head the International Monetary Fund, which should give a press conference "important" to the Department late Wednesday morning. Moreover, in France, we look particularly figures on registered job seekers and job advertisements collected by Pole in April. Baroin, Minister of Labour, has already warned that the unemployment rate would decline again in April for the fourth consecutive month.With regard to the Icelandic volcano, France should be minimally affected, which should reassure the airline industry.

Next major economic figures to be followed today: in France, we will look particularly figures on registered unemployed and job advertisements collected by Pole in April. In Germany, the GfK barometer of consumer sentiment will be released at 8:30. United States, is expected at 14:30 durable goods orders in April, at 16.30, the weekly inventory of crude oil.

Airbus confident for Le Bourget

Side companies, consumer complaints of gas and electricity rose 25% in 2010, about problems with their energy supplier.The mediator of Energy notes that complaints from customers at 43% of GDF Suez, to 38% of EDF, 12% of Direct Energy and 4% of customers Poweo payday advance.

Airbus and its parent EADS were optimistic Tuesday on future orders at the Paris Air Show in June in a market "active."

The French group Alstom and its Chinese joint venture Casco signed two contracts worth a total of 85 million euros for the supply of signaling systems in metros of Shanghai (east) and Kunming (south).

The partner of minority shareholders (Adam) who assigned Tuesday referred the saddle for Hermes "deprive" the essential rights of family voting at the next general meeting, has been confronted with an invalid procedure and case was adjourned to July 12.Or after the meeting to be held June 30

Casino on Tuesday denied having agreed to the opening of the opening of negotiations between the Brazilian distributor GPA, which holds 35%, and Carrefour Brazil.

PPR and Volcom announced Tuesday it had received notification of the end of the statutory review period on the bid of French on the American brand.

Rexel announced Tuesday it had won its bond issue of 500 million euros, whose order book has surpassed 1.8 billion euros.

Eurazeo Tuesday announced a capital increase, offering its shareholders one new share for 20 old shares held as of May 25, 2011.

The land Gecina in 2nd place behind France in Unibail-Rodamco will continue to sell its assets in Spain and in the logistics industry, said Tuesday its chief executive Christophe Clamageran.

BioMerieux announced Tuesday that the Health Authority (FDA) had recorded rapid testing and automated molecular diagnostic NucliSENS EasyQ MRSA screening for patients infected with Staphylococcus aureus resistant to methicillin.

Europacorp publish its annual turnover, while LCD (poultry) will announce its annual results after-hours trading.

A month and a half after the start of hostilities, the war in Libya has already cost 50 million euros to France. Gerard Longuet, the defense minister, that figure dropped Tuesday before the Committee on National Defence, says Les Echos.

The invoice missiles fired by fighter planes is around 30 million euros each cruise missile costing nearly a million. We add the operating costs of aircraft: the flight time of a Rafale is estimated at 40,000 euros and time response of the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle to 50,000 euros. Premiums paid to military also weigh on the bill, amounting to nearly 10 million.

The war is not over and the cost of operations should increase if the conflict stalled. But whatever the final cost of these unforeseen expenses will be funded.The budget of the Ministry of Defence was counting on 900 million euros for external operations in 2011, an amount identical to that of 2010, with approximately $ 500 million for Afghanistan. Of this amount, 630 million euros have been budgeted and 50 million are expected from the UN, says Les Echos. Thus, 220 million are already short and we must add the cost of expenditures in Libya. Part of the money spent in Libya are at present drawn from the budgets of the military trainings that may not be sufficient, however. Time and budget constraints, the sum could be more difficult to refinance.

To international funding Libyan rebels

The "contact group" on Libya has agreed Thursday on the creation of a mechanism of financial support to insurgents fighting against the regime of Muammar Gaddafi.The special fund will be temporary "operational within the next few weeks," said the head of French diplomacy Alain Juppe, after a group meeting in Rome. "The temporary funding mechanism set in Doha is now well defined" so as to be "operational in the coming weeks," said the French minister told reporters.

After the announcement of the participation of the United States, France "also define" the height of his contributions soon, he added.

The National Transitional Council (CNT) formed by the insurgent wants to be granted loans totaling two to three billion dollars to cover its needs for food and medicines, to ensure essential services in areas it controls and to pay salaries.About 250 million has "already" been collected for humanitarian aid to Libya, said the Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini.

This request has so far been examined carefully in the Western embassies, particularly because of legal obstacles that the Rome meeting was intended to circumvent.

The administration formed by the insurgents is far recognized only by France, Italy and Qatar.

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No democratic government would dare to address and to his people. "If they have no bread, let them eat cake" Marie Antoinette would have said in the fall 1789. Similarly in the third century, the Chinese emperor Huida Jin replied to his subjects desperate to get rice, "Why do not they eat meat?" Such arrogance is more appropriate. But strangely, the board would surely relevant today. In our industrialized societies and hypertechniques, buns, indeed, increasing more slowly. They are sometimes even cheaper than home-made bread. It's the world upside down: the more a product is essential and its prices are soaring.And conversely, anything that is sophisticated, even a questionable value, such as electronic gadgets, continues to be cheaper.

The remark of Marie Antoinette, perhaps apocryphal – Jean-Jacques Rousseau, who died eleven years earlier, told the same thing to a "princess" in his Confessions – anticipates fully functioning modern economy. Core resources become scarcer and more expensive, but we regorgeons of superfluous goods.

Americans talk about "biflation"

This paradox is one of the structural features of globalization, as we said Xavier Timbeau, director of the OFCE (French Observatory of Economic Conditions). On the one hand, rare goods, whether oil, farmland, building land or water, whose supply is naturally limited.On the other, the industrial production capacity almost endless with the arrival of new players and technology advancement. The Treasury has calculated that the Bercy "the global labor supply has more than doubled between 1980 and 2006" on the market of international trade. And that's not going to stop. The UN considers that 'the world's population of working age will increase by 40% by 2050. " Even the experts the less catastrophic, as the International Energy Agency, never imagine that oil production is growing at this rate. It instead addresses his reflux.

This disparity between two types of products has already resulted in a dramatic upheaval in relative prices. In France, "the purchase price of vehicles" increased from just under 10% since 1998, according to Insee, while "fuel and lubricants' jumped 78%.These figures do make sense only when compared to the higher minimum wage that was 46.8% over the same period. "The acquisition of a car is less expensive, but it is more expensive to roll," says Xavier Timbeau. INSEE also considers that the cost of using a car weighs 2.4 times more than its purchase in the budget of a French household.

Across the Atlantic, the Americans, always eager to create new concepts, coined a neologism to express this reality in two speeds. They speak of "biflation", meaning the coexistence of inflation and deflation. "Inflation is What We Need, deflation is What We Want" on one side, sharp increases for all products required, which can not be happen in real life and on the other hand, price declines for purchases may be delayed.Housing and automobiles belong to this second category, because U.S. households, overburdened, are reluctant to use credit, which tends to depress their markets.

The "bi" is characteristic of periods of transition

The very term "biflation" was created in 2003 by Osborne Brown, a financial analyst from Phoenix Investment Group, at a time when there was already wondering if the U.S. economy did not run the risk of depression. The debate has rebounded in recent months with the monetary policy of the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke. The head of the U.S. central bank says there is no inflation in the U.S., since the increase in consumer prices is just 1.1% over one year if one ignores food and energy.

But the price of gas soaring, now exceeding $ 4 a gallon (3.78 liters) in California, when they fell to $ 1.67 in December 2008, the worst of the crisis Financial. Heavily enough to amputate the purchasing power of households. Bernanke is also accused by the Republicans to fuel speculation on commodities, through its policy of cheap money too. Which penalizes savers, particularly pensioners, whose income depends largely on the level of interest rates …

France is also struck by the syndrome of "biflation", although unlike the U.S. housing market would rank rather camp in the inflationary exuberance for reasons of physical inadequacy of housing specific Hexagon . There is no doubt that the term "biflation" is spreading among us.In the press, swears by the "bimédia" to describe the juxtaposition of newspapers printed (print) and information sites on the Internet (Web). The "bi" is characteristic of periods of transition. Oh so painful periods, as at dawn and dusk, when no one knows distinguish between dog and wolf.

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