No democratic government would dare to address and to his people. "If they have no bread, let them eat cake" Marie Antoinette would have said in the fall 1789. Similarly in the third century, the Chinese emperor Huida Jin replied to his subjects desperate to get rice, "Why do not they eat meat?" Such arrogance is more appropriate. But strangely, the board would surely relevant today. In our industrialized societies and hypertechniques, buns, indeed, increasing more slowly. They are sometimes even cheaper than home-made bread. It's the world upside down: the more a product is essential and its prices are soaring.And conversely, anything that is sophisticated, even a questionable value, such as electronic gadgets, continues to be cheaper.
The remark of Marie Antoinette, perhaps apocryphal – Jean-Jacques Rousseau, who died eleven years earlier, told the same thing to a "princess" in his Confessions – anticipates fully functioning modern economy. Core resources become scarcer and more expensive, but we regorgeons of superfluous goods.
Americans talk about "biflation"
This paradox is one of the structural features of globalization, as we said Xavier Timbeau, director of the OFCE (French Observatory of Economic Conditions). On the one hand, rare goods, whether oil, farmland, building land or water, whose supply is naturally limited.On the other, the industrial production capacity almost endless with the arrival of new players and technology advancement. The Treasury has calculated that the Bercy "the global labor supply has more than doubled between 1980 and 2006" on the market of international trade. And that's not going to stop. The UN considers that 'the world's population of working age will increase by 40% by 2050. " Even the experts the less catastrophic, as the International Energy Agency, never imagine that oil production is growing at this rate. It instead addresses his reflux.
This disparity between two types of products has already resulted in a dramatic upheaval in relative prices. In France, "the purchase price of vehicles" increased from just under 10% since 1998, according to Insee, while "fuel and lubricants' jumped 78%.These figures do make sense only when compared to the higher minimum wage that was 46.8% over the same period. "The acquisition of a car is less expensive, but it is more expensive to roll," says Xavier Timbeau. INSEE also considers that the cost of using a car weighs 2.4 times more than its purchase in the budget of a French household.
Across the Atlantic, the Americans, always eager to create new concepts, coined a neologism to express this reality in two speeds. They speak of "biflation", meaning the coexistence of inflation and deflation. "Inflation is What We Need, deflation is What We Want" on one side, sharp increases for all products required, which can not be happen in real life and on the other hand, price declines for purchases may be delayed.Housing and automobiles belong to this second category, because U.S. households, overburdened, are reluctant to use credit, which tends to depress their markets.
The "bi" is characteristic of periods of transition
The very term "biflation" was created in 2003 by Osborne Brown, a financial analyst from Phoenix Investment Group, at a time when there was already wondering if the U.S. economy did not run the risk of depression. The debate has rebounded in recent months with the monetary policy of the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke. The head of the U.S. central bank says there is no inflation in the U.S., since the increase in consumer prices is just 1.1% over one year if one ignores food and energy.
But the price of gas soaring, now exceeding $ 4 a gallon (3.78 liters) in California, when they fell to $ 1.67 in December 2008, the worst of the crisis Financial. Heavily enough to amputate the purchasing power of households. Bernanke is also accused by the Republicans to fuel speculation on commodities, through its policy of cheap money too. Which penalizes savers, particularly pensioners, whose income depends largely on the level of interest rates …
France is also struck by the syndrome of "biflation", although unlike the U.S. housing market would rank rather camp in the inflationary exuberance for reasons of physical inadequacy of housing specific Hexagon . There is no doubt that the term "biflation" is spreading among us.In the press, swears by the "bimédia" to describe the juxtaposition of newspapers printed (print) and information sites on the Internet (Web). The "bi" is characteristic of periods of transition. Oh so painful periods, as at dawn and dusk, when no one knows distinguish between dog and wolf.
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